March Week 1 -2025

CRYPTO RESET
President Trump’s Strategic Crypto Reserve Sparks Market Surge

In a bold move that sent shockwaves through the crypto market, President Trump announced the highly anticipated U.S. strategic reserve and it’s plan to include XRP, Solana, and Cardano as part of the reserve, fueling a surge in digital asset prices. He quickly posted that the reserve would obviously include BTC and ETH.

Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency, skyrocketed over 11% to reach $94,164, while ADA Cardano saw the biggest jump, climbing a whopping 63% to $1.15. The total cryptocurrency market added more than $300 billion in value within hours of the announcement, according to CoinGecko.

Trump’s move signals a dramatic shift in U.S. crypto policy, potentially accelerating institutional adoption and providing much needed regulatory clarity. Federico Brokate of 21Shares called it a pivotal moment, suggesting it could strengthen the U.S.’s leadership in digital asset innovation.

While Bitcoin’s inclusion was expected, some industry experts were surprised by the addition of altcoins like ADA, Solana and XRP. James Butterfill of CoinShares noted that these assets function more like tech investments than traditional stores of value, hinting that the decision could reflect a broader embrace of crypto technology rather than just digital money.

Beyond market speculation, the announcement aligns with Trump’s increasing support for the crypto industry. His administration had previously been seen as skeptical toward digital assets, but this shift suggests a more proactive stance in integrating blockchain technology into the U.S. financial system.

The crypto world is buzzing with excitement as it absorbs this groundbreaking news, leaving everyone eager to see what comes next. With President Trump following through on his campaign promises to support this rapidly evolving industry, anticipation is at an all-time high.

AI RESET
GPT-4.5 Is Here, and OpenAI Wants You to Feel the Vibes

OpenAI just dropped GPT-4.5, and it is not just bigger and smarter—it is also designed to feel more natural in conversation. This latest model builds on the strengths of GPT-4, improving its world knowledge, accuracy, and reasoning while also focusing on making interactions warmer and more intuitive.

One of the key upgrades is its ability to pick up on social cues. OpenAI has trained GPT-4.5 to be more aware of tone and intent, making it better at handling emotionally sensitive requests. Need advice on sending a tricky text? It will help craft something thoughtful rather than just following instructions literally.

In addition to being friendlier, GPT-4.5 is also OpenAI’s most powerful model yet. It has a deeper knowledge base, fewer hallucinations, and stronger reasoning capabilities. This makes it more effective at tasks like coding, science, and complex problem-solving. While it is not a full on "thinking" model like GPT-4o, it provides a stronger foundation for future AI developments.

The model was trained across multiple data centers at the same time, a first at this scale. This allowed OpenAI to push its computing limits without needing a single massive supercomputer, opening doors for others to train similarly advanced models.

In real-world testing, GPT-4.5 has shown improvements in world knowledge, multilingual understanding, and coding benchmarks. It even outperformed previous models in answering open-ended questions with clarity and depth.

As AI continues to evolve, OpenAI is making a clear bet that the future is not just about intelligence but also about creating AI that feels more human. Whether that is a good thing or a little unsettling is up to you.

MONEY RESET
Market Volatility, Economic Strategy, and the Political Puzzle

Stocks have taken a hit, and it’s not just because of Nvidia’s fade from green to red. According to Jim Carson of Chi Volatility Advisors, this downturn has been in the making for months. If you think it’s about company earnings, think again. The real driver? Options expirations, liquidity cycles, and a broader economic strategy that’s playing out behind the scenes.

Carson highlights how quarterly options expirations (OpEx) have historically been pivotal in market movements. The February March window, in particular, has been a flashpoint for years. Remember the Covid crash? It followed the same post-OpEx pattern. This time, the market’s cooling off after a massive run-up in 2023, with big players like Warren Buffett and Jamie Dimon making moves well in advance.

But here’s where things get interesting: is this sell off just market mechanics, or is there a broader strategy at play? Carson argues that the administration might actually want a softer economy. The reason? Bringing the 10-year yield lower to ease the massive wave of refinancing that’s about to hit.

The past five years have seen trillions borrowed at near zero interest rates. But now, those debts are maturing. Many businesses and investors need to refinance, and if rates stay high, they’ll be in trouble. The administration’s challenge is keeping things afloat without igniting inflation, something that past leaders, from Nixon to Trump, have wrestled with.

So what’s next? Carson sees a controlled correction of 10-12% before a quick response with monetary stimulus. By mid-year, expect fresh liquidity injections, a potential market bounce, and an eventual climb back toward 6% yields. The playbook is familiar, engineer a dip, inject liquidity, and ride the wave back up.

BUT…………. will it work this time? 😳

DISCLAIMER:
This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets or to make any financial decisions or investments. Please be careful and do your own research.